Wednesday, 27 May 2026 · Hong Kong
USD/HKD 7.784 Gold US$3,340 LIVE DATA
Grey Mkt
SUB DateUS$12,300▲ 1.8%
DaytonaUS$21,000▲ 0.9%
GMT Pepsi ●US$14,350▼ 0.5%
GMT BatmanUS$13,900▲ 2.1%
OP 41US$6,650— 0.0%
Datejust 41US$7,150▼ 1.2%
Sky-DwellerUS$18,950▲ 3.4%
RRGI Index1,247▲ +18 pts
SUB DateUS$12,300▲ 1.8%
DaytonaUS$21,000▲ 0.9%
GMT Pepsi ●US$14,350▼ 0.5%
GMT BatmanUS$13,900▲ 2.1%
OP 41US$6,650— 0.0%
Datejust 41US$7,150▼ 1.2%
Sky-DwellerUS$18,950▲ 3.4%
RRGI Index1,247▲ +18 pts
Grey Market Intelligence
Wednesday, 27 May 2026
Model Profile
Deal of the Week The GMT Pepsi is RolexRadar's featured value pick this week. Price has dipped 0.5% in 7 days while fundamentals remain intact — a short-term entry opportunity in the RRGI's prestige reference.
Model Profile · GMT Master II · Deal of the Week
GMT Master II Pepsi
Reference 126710BLRO · Introduced 2018 · Oystersteel · Jubilee Bracelet

The red and blue "Pepsi" GMT Master II is the most storied variant in Rolex's dual-timezone family and one of the most globally recognized watch references on earth. Returned to Jubilee bracelet configuration in 2018 after a decades-long hiatus, the 126710BLRO commands a premium befitting its heritage — and a buyers' list at authorised dealers that stretches years. This week's marginal price dip creates a rare short-term entry point in what is otherwise an inexorably appreciating asset.

Sports Steel GMT / Dual Timezone 40mm Jubilee Bracelet ★ Deal of the Week
Current Grey Market Price
US$14,350
▼ −US$72 this week (−0.5%)
Retail MSRPUS$9,150
Grey/Retail Premium+57%
52-Week Range$13,200 – $16,100
Updated27 May 2026, 07:00
7D Change
−0.5%
−US$72
30D Change
−2.4%
−US$352
YTD Change
+5.9%
Since Jan 2026
52W High
US$16,100
Nov 2025
52W Low
US$13,200
Feb 2026
RR Signal
BUY
Since 19 May 2026
18-Month Price History
GMT Master II Pepsi — Grey Market Price (USD)
Dec '24Feb '25Apr '25Jun '25Aug '25Oct '25Dec '25Feb '26Apr '26Today
Period Return
+5.9%
Annualised
+4.0%
Peak Drawdown
−18.0%
vs Gold (YTD)
−6.4pp
Investment Thesis

The Icon at a Discount: Why the Pepsi's Short-Term Dip Is a Long-Term Setup

The GMT Master II Pepsi is, by most measures, the single most important reference in the contemporary Rolex grey market. It commands the highest premium among steel sport watches, the longest AD waiting list of any reference tracked by the RRGI, and the broadest global name recognition — from Geneva to Dubai to Beverly Hills. When collectors who know nothing else about Rolex want "the Rolex," they describe a Pepsi GMT.

"The Pepsi commands a prestige premium that cannot be created by fundamentals alone. It is earned by decades of cultural association with aviation, exploration, and the aspirational travel lifestyle — and that premium does not compress easily."

The −0.5% seven-day move that has triggered our Deal of the Week designation is not a signal of weakness. It is the natural consequence of a short-term supply flush: two large consignments from European sellers entered Chrono24 in the past fortnight, modestly increasing visible supply. Historical analysis of 11 similar supply-flush events since 2020 shows that the Pepsi premium reverts to trend within 21 days in 9 of 11 cases.

At US$14,350, the Pepsi sits at a +57% premium to retail — below its 18-month average of +62% and well below the +76% peak reached in November 2025. This compression creates the value case. Buyers entering at this level have a clear risk/reward: the downside is limited to further mild supply-driven softness (floor estimated at $13,500), while the upside is a reversion to the 60-65% premium band that constitutes the Pepsi's natural equilibrium.

The Pepsi's status as the RRGI's prestige anchor also provides a structural buffer. When market participants seek to reduce watch portfolio risk, they consolidate into the most liquid references first — and the Pepsi is at the top of that list. This counter-cyclical property makes it the reference we recommend overweighting in periods of broader market uncertainty.

Bull Case
Supply flush resolves within 3 weeks; premium reverts to 62-65% band; strong end-of-Q2 luxury buying from Middle East and Europe.
Bear Case
European supply overhang persists longer than expected; broad luxury correction accelerates; USD strengthens against EUR and CHF.
RR Verdict
BUY — Deal of the Week. Dip is technical, not fundamental. Short-term entry with 6–8% upside to prior range.
Technical Specifications
Reference126710BLRO
Introduced2018 (Baselworld)
Case MaterialOystersteel
Case Diameter40 mm
Water Resistance300 m (1,000 ft)
BezelRed/Blue Cerachrom, bidirectional, 24-hour
DialBlack
BraceletJubilee, 5-link, Oystersteel
ClaspOysterlock with Easylink
CalibreCal. 3285 (in-house, COSC + Superlative)
Power ReserveApprox. 70 hours
Retail MSRP (US)US$9,150
RolexRadar Signal · Deal of the Week
BUY ★
Updated 19 May 2026 · Featured pick
Short-term supply flush has driven a technical dip in the market's prestige reference. Premium below 18-month average; reversion expected within 3 weeks.
Price Correlations
USD Weakness
+0.82
Gold Price
+0.71
EUR/USD Rate
+0.60
LVMH Share
+0.48
US 10Y Yield
−0.58

Most globally distributed demand base in the RRGI. European sellers currently driving short-term supply increase.

Current Listings to Watch
2023 · Full Set · Unworn
Chrono24 · Geneva seller
US$13,800 −4% to mkt
2024 · Full Set · Like New
Chrono24 · Dubai seller
US$14,200
2022 · Box Only · Very Good
WatchBox · London
US$14,900
All Chrono24 Listings →
Related Radar Reports
23 May 2026
Why the Pepsi Dip Is a Buying Opportunity, Not a Warning
15 May 2026
Batman vs. Pepsi: Why the Spread Has Persisted — and When It Won't
2 May 2026
The Jubilee Effect: How Bracelet Choice Affects Grey Market Pricing
14 Apr 2026
GMT Supply Chain Analysis: European Seller Patterns in Q2